The Baltimore Ravens will travel to Jacksonville to play the Jaguars in a Week 12 NFL matchup.
The Ravens are flying high after a 13-3 win over the Carolina Panthers, while the Jaguars are a well-rested team after a bye week.
Here you will find everything you need from a betting perspective on the Ravens-Jaguars game, from point spread, money line, total Over/Under, and expert pick (odds via fox bet):
Dak Prescott threw for 261 yards and 2 TDs in a 28-20 win over the Giants
CeeDee Lamb and Dalton Schultz combined for 10 receptions, 137 yards and 2 touchdowns in a Dallas Cowboys win.
ravens a jaguars (1 p.m. ET Sunday CBS)
Point difference: Ravens -3.5 (Bills favored to win by more than 3.5 points, otherwise Jaguars cover)
money line: Ravens -213 favorites to win (bet $10 to win a total of $14.69); Jaguars +160 underdogs to win (bet $10 to win $26 total)
Total Score Over/Under: 43.5 points scored by both teams combined
Choose through the FOX Sports gambling expert warren sharp:
As a Lamar Jackson fan as I am, it’s hard to look at this offense and suggest it’s not contributing in some way to their problems.
The Ravens have posted four straight wins, three of the four against the lowly NFC South. But Jackson hasn’t posted more than a 7.5 YPA in any game since Week 3. Since that win against the Patriots, Jackson is averaging just a 6.1 YPA and 63% completion rate with just six touchdowns and five interceptions while grabbing 17 sacks in seven games.
Baltimore simply doesn’t have the weapons to receive. Mark Andrews is playing, but he’s less than 100%. To show you how desperate this team has been in skill positions to support Lamar Jackson, as of Week 6, the Ravens’ leading receiver is Demarcus Robinson, and the leading rusher is Kenyan Drake.
Both players were released by the Raiders in August.
While they were above average in rushing rating all season, since Week 6, the Jaguars have gotten even better. They rank #6 in snap rate despite shelling at the 10th lowest rate.
And since Week 6, Jacksonville has ranked in the top 10 in both EPA/RB rushing and yards before contact per rush.
The Jaguars have extra rest to help plan the game for Lamar Jackson’s running game coming off his layoff. When teams play Lamar on more than seven days rest, the Under is 7-4, averaging 45.5 total points over three points per game.
Jacksonville’s top concern is Mark Andrews, as the Jaguars are ranked #32 in EPA/att and #30 in YPA in targets for opposing TEs. Last week, Andrews finally got back to running a standard number of routes, but it wasn’t nearly as explosive. He averaged a season-low 2.0 yards after reception, and his longest reception was just 16 yards, his second-lowest total of the season.
The Jaguars at home have just been an Under gold mine. Since 2018, games in Jacksonville with a total of 48 or less have gone under in 19 of 27 games (70%).
Since 2018, when the Jaguars host a team with a winning record after Week 8, the Jaguars are 5-2 ATS (71%) and the Under are 6-1 (86%). Opposing teams have gone under their team’s total in 6 of 7 games, and the final scores in these games have been a Jaguars loss, 17-14.
Bet the Bass.
TO CHOOSE: Fewer than 43.5 points scored by both teams combined on FOX Bet
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